NBA Betting: Top Favorites and Longshots for Most Improved Player in 2024-25

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NBA Betting: Top Favorites and Longshots for Most Improved Player in 2024-25
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The NBA’s Most Improved Player (MIP) Award is a coveted honor, but it’s not about comebacks—it’s about players reaching new heights in their careers. The award recognizes those who showcase significant growth over a single season. With eligibility requiring players to appear in at least 65 games this season, consistency is key, ensuring the award goes to a player making a sustained impact.

So, who are the frontrunners for the title this year? Let’s dive into key trends and top contenders.


Key Trends in MIP Winners

  • Scoring is Crucial: In 24 of the past 25 seasons, winners increased their scoring by at least 5.0 PPG. Furthermore, 10 of the last 11 averaged 20+ PPG during their MIP season.
  • All-Star Appearances: Five consecutive winners (and seven of the last eight) made the All-Star team in their MIP year.
  • Team Success: 13 of the last 20 winners played for playoff-bound teams, and 11 of those came from teams with improved records.
  • Player Development: While second-year players historically dominated, 12 of the last 16 winners were in their third or fourth year.

Top Contenders

Jalen Williams (PF/SF/C, Oklahoma City Thunder, +450)

Williams has shown remarkable growth across the board, stepping into a larger role with Chet Holmgren sidelined. The third-year player is versatile, filling roles from power forward to center, and is thriving on a playoff-contending team.

  • Strengths: Williams’ defensive prowess, expanded role, and potential All-Star nod enhance his MIP bid.
  • Challenges: He finished fourth in voting last year, so maintaining and surpassing his current stats (19.1 PPG, 4.0 RPG, 4.5 APG) is crucial.

Jalen Johnson (PF, Atlanta Hawks, +650)

After injuries limited him last season, Johnson has emerged as a dominant force, averaging 19.4 PPG, 10.0 RPG, and 5.4 APG. His all-around game places him among elite company.

  • Strengths: His stats mirror legends like Nikola Jokic and Kevin Garnett. Even on a rebuilding Hawks team, his production stands out.
  • Challenges: Teammate Dyson Daniels’ defensive stats could split the votes.

Franz Wagner (SF/PF, Orlando Magic, +850)

Wagner has elevated his game, consistently delivering 25+ point performances and boosting Orlando’s defensive efficiency. His versatility and IQ shine with increased opportunities due to Paolo Banchero’s absence.

  • Strengths: Career-best scoring streaks and leadership on both ends of the floor.
  • Challenges: Banchero’s return could impact Wagner’s usage and output.

Longshots to Watch

RJ Barrett (SG/SF/PF, Toronto Raptors, +1500)

Barrett has flourished in Toronto, taking on a leading role and averaging 23.2 PPG, 6.4 RPG, and 6.5 APG. The absence of Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley has allowed him to dominate.

  • Strengths: High usage and improved efficiency in the paint.
  • Challenges: Reduced opportunities when Barnes and Quickley return.

Cade Cunningham (PG, Detroit Pistons, +1600)

Cunningham has been electrifying, posting four triple-doubles in 10 games and leading Detroit’s surprising start.

  • Strengths: A 32.4% usage rate highlights his importance to the Pistons.
  • Challenges: Health remains a concern, as he’s yet to play 65 games in a season.

Norman Powell (SG/SF, Los Angeles Clippers, +1600)

Powell has stepped up as the Clippers’ leading scorer in Kawhi Leonard’s absence, averaging 23.3 PPG with efficient shooting.

  • Strengths: Increased opportunities due to injuries and roster changes.
  • Challenges: At 31, Powell would be the oldest MIP winner, which could sway voters toward younger candidates.

Final Thoughts

The Most Improved Player race this season is as competitive as ever. With trends favoring younger players on playoff teams who make significant scoring leaps, keep an eye on Jalen Williams and Jalen Johnson as top contenders. Longshots like RJ Barrett and Cade Cunningham could also surprise if they sustain their impressive early-season performances.

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